The Investment Advantage of Seasoned Antiques

The Investment Advantage of Seasoned Antiques

When I was young I used to play an unusual game at my grandparent’s house.  They lived in a stately, old, brick Victorian built in 1912 that was stuffed full of antiques.  I used to go into a room at random and imagine myself going back in time.  My first stop was the year 1950.  Now I would ask myself what items made after 1950 would disappear from the room and what items made before 1950 would remain?  Now, still standing in the same room, I would imagine that I had gone back even further in time to 1900.  What would be left in the room and what would disappear?  I would repeat this process until I had mentally time traveled back to the early 19th century.

This odd little game actually gives surprisingly deep insights into the natural process of physical attrition and how it relates to the antique industry.  Even in my grandparent’s house, which was packed full of antiques of all types and descriptions, the Civil War era (circa 1865) was a watershed.  My grandparents owned many, many post 1860s antiques.  But, if you were to go back in time before 1865, the number of surviving items in a given room dwindled to just a handful.  For example, there may only be a single piece of furniture, a simple stoneware jug and perhaps a pressed glass bowl – all of them pre Civil War era.  Everything else in the room would be post 1865.

These childhood observations have wider implications for the world of antiques.  While items from before the 1860s are truly scarce, even surviving late-Victorian, post-1860s antiques aren’t particularly common.  Time has done its wicked work all too well, scouring the world until only a fragment of our material heritage remains.  This process – the natural attrition of poorly made or low quality objects over time – is known as seasoning.  It strips away the faddish and the banal, leaving only the exceptional and enduring.  And as we move forward in the 21st century, it is increasingly apparent that early and mid 20th century items are also gradually but inexorably being winnowed by this never ending phenomenon.

All of these experiences lead to some important conclusions for antique investors and collectors alike.  Seasoning only happens slowly, over decades and decades of time.  A substantial amount occurs over the first 50 years of an object’s existence.  This amount of time more or less coincides with the definition of antique, meaning anything considered antique has already been seasoned to some extent.  After the first half century, seasoning progresses more slowly until the process is largely complete around 150 or 200 years.  So today, when we examine mid 19th century or earlier antiques, only the best of the best has survived.  Medieval and ancient items, having been seasoned for either hundreds or thousands of years, are rarer yet.  Shockingly few items survive from those periods – almost all of them remarkably durable.

One reason that antiques are often superior investments is precisely because they have been seasoned over almost unimaginable lengths of time.  Inferior items produced from subpar materials like cardboard, cheap base metals and low-quality woods or fabrics have tended to disappear over time.  These “bad” antiques – those that are cheaply-made, nondescript or stylistically average – have a smaller and smaller chance of avoiding the garbage heap as the decades wear on.  Families throw them out when they move or when older family members die.  Or they are destroyed in tragic natural disasters such as fires, floods and tornadoes.  Or they simply rust, mold or turn to dust from age and exposure.

So have confidence when you begin collecting fine antiques with an eye toward investments returns.  Whether perusing 18th century French bronze candelabra or ancient Minoan sealstones, only the finest specimens have survived the destructive effects of centuries of time.  The world will never have more antiques, only less from now until eternity.  This means that when you do buy a fine, century old antique, chances are very good that it will continue to reliably appreciate far into the future.

Diminutive Art in the Modern Age

Diminutive Art in the Modern Age

I’ve seen both ends of the materialism spectrum in my family.  My parents have a house rammed full of so much stuff it’s difficult to walk around in.  And most of their possessions are junk.  They won’t throw anything away because of emotional attachments, but deflect any criticism by claiming that “as soon as we throw out (fill in the blank), then we’ll need it.”  One would think this is the perfect way to ensure that they would never need anything again, provided they already own it.

But, of course, life doesn’t work that way; they always buy more.  Growing up in their house has caused me to value the simplicity of an uncluttered life.  I have vowed never to emulate them.

My brother sits on the other side of the materialism fence.  He has embraced extreme monasticism, to the point where he even eschews useful furniture like a bed or dresser.  To him possessions are a sign of dubious individual moral fiber.  They are chains, tying you down to the banality of the physical world.  Once, after finding my brother sitting cross-legged on the floor of his room surrounded by a pile of books (with no furniture to be seen) I concluded that my brother’s approach to life was unnecessarily austere.

And that brings us to my own personal, middle path philosophy.  Don’t own many things, but make certain that the things you do own are nice.  And perhaps the highest application of this dictum is the field of art and antiques.  We all want a little color in our lives, something beautiful and inspiring.  Art and antiques, in addition to being fine investments, give us that special, deep connection to history, nature, philosophy or aesthetics that we crave.

But many people are intimidated by the scale of traditional art forms – the so-called major arts.  Paintings?  You need a gallery to display those properly, or at least a mansion with an extra wing.  Sculptures?  They require an exhibition hall or perhaps you could sneak by with only a large courtyard.  But good art doesn’t have to be cyclopean in size.  Some fine art and antiques are actually quite compact.

Over the last couple of decades our lifestyles have changed.  We are now more mobile than ever.  Our cell phones are mobile.  Our media is mobile.  Even our living arrangements are oftentimes mobile.  So why can’t our art be mobile too?

It can be.  The minor arts like jewelry, silverware, miniature sculpture and lacquerware, to name just a few, gracefully mesh with this modern philosophy of unencumbered living.  A superb, Edo era Japanese boxwood netsuke sculpture may be only a couple inches tall, yet overflows with history and culture.  An ancient Greek gold stater coin only weighs about 8 grams, but clearly reflects the grandeur of ancient Greece and the skill of her artists.  Small is beautiful and our society is just now coming to realize it.

The size of diminutive art bears no relation to its value either.  Most investment grade antiques are crafted from precious metals, glittering gemstones, exotic woods and other rare materials.  These miniature works of art are small, but exceedingly valuable.  Antiques conveniently allow us to hold a piece of the past in our hands while simultaneously being, if carefully chosen, top notch investments.

A collection of fine antiques takes up little space and can usually be displayed on a couple small shelves or, if need be, stored in the corner of a closet or a dresser drawer.  A modestly sized home safe or bank safety deposit box will also easily accommodate most collections.  Investment grade antiques are discreet and easily transportable, regardless of whether you need to take them down the street or halfway across the country.  And no one – not your friends, family or coworkers – will know you own a valuable collection of investment grade vintage wristwatches, antique jewelry or medieval prints – to name just a few possibilities – unless you tell them.

Art is a necessity in a balanced life, like food or water, but for the soul.  But art doesn’t need to be big to be good.  A compact collection of investment grade antiques can satisfy your aesthetic needs while also offering good investment returns.  As I like to say, own few things, but let the things you do own be nice (without taking up much space).

Silver Swiss Shooting Medal from the City of Schaffhausen

Silver Swiss Shooting Medal from the City of Schaffhausen
Photo Credit: worldqualitycoins

Silver Swiss Shooting Medal from the City of Schaffhausen

Buy It Now Price: $295 (price as of 2016; item no longer available)

Pros:

-Struck in stunningly high relief, this is a 1956 silver Swiss shooting medal from the city of Schaffhausen.  It measures 39 mm (1.54 inches) in diameter and was struck in solid silver.

-The medal depicts an exquisitely rendered, crowned ram on the obverse and the winner’s name, Hefti Edwin, and date, 1956, surrounded by a wreath on the reverse.

-Schaffhausen is a small city in northern Switzerland that sits on the banks of the Rhine River.  The city first appeared in historical records in 1045 AD and features a ram bursting out of a castle on its coat of arms.

-Some regions of Central Europe, especially Switzerland, have a deeply cherished tradition of holding shooting festivals once a year.  Various Swiss cities and cantons have issued shooting medals to hand out as prizes throughout the 19th and 20th centuries.

-Shooting medals have been struck in gold, silver, bronze, tin and aluminum, but silver is the most common metal encountered.

-Mintages for Swiss shooting medals are often shockingly low – usually less than 1,000 pieces.  In addition, attrition due to wear, loss and scrapping has reduced the extant population of these magnificent medals even further.

-This example is certified MS-65 by NGC (Numismatic Guaranty Corporation), a third-party grading service.  This gives a powerful assurance of authenticity to the specimen.

-MS-65, or Mint State 65, is a phenomenally good state of preservation for a medal that is over 65 years old.  This condition is just about as good as a medal (or coin) can get.  While the grading scale theoretically goes up to 70, vanishingly few pieces are certified higher than MS-65.

European art medals in general, and Swiss shooting medals in particular, are often overlooked in today’s antique market.  Consequently, despite their rarity, prices are usually quite reasonable.

-The modest $295 asking price for this silver Swiss shooting medal, coupled with its excellent condition and attractive design, should allow for rapid future price appreciation.

 

Cons:

-This silver Swiss shooting medal is only from the mid 20th century.  Although it exemplifies Mid-Century, European design wonderfully, older medals will usually sell for higher prices than more recent issues.

-This medal is struck from silver, which makes it desirable.  But a similar medal struck from gold would appeal to collectors even more.  However, it would also drive up the price commensurately.

-Cheaper silver Swiss shooting medals are available in the market, particularly if you are willing to forgo a specimen that has been third-party certified as mint state.  You are paying a premium for quality here.

Investment Grade Antiques Diverge from the Collectibles Market

Investment Grade Antiques Diverge from the Collectibles Market

The antique market has undergone massive changes recently.  These developments have altered the antiques marketplace in one important way that few experts, much less casual observers, are aware of.  While high end, investment grade antiques have soared in value over the last 10 to 15 years, non-investment grade antiques – what I refer to as collectibles – have crashed.

This pricing revolution became starkly apparent to me as I was doing in-depth pricing research for guides I was writing.  I saw the same pattern again and again.  Investment grade antiques – high end coins, jewelry, silverware, mechanical watches, illuminated manuscripts, etc. – generally cost two to three times what they did a decade ago.  Sometimes they cost four times as much.  Very rarely, the increase was a bit less than two times.  These price increases were across the board, but only for antiques that fell into the investment grade category.  In other words, only those antiques that are portable, high quality, durable, scarce and reflect the zeitgeist of their era benefited.

The situation hasn’t gone nearly as well for the rest of the antiques market, however.  The price of more pedestrian collectibles – most memorabilia, ceramic figurines, antique furniture, glass, china and crystal – has plummeted since the turn of the millennium.  Markets that used to be vibrant for these antiques have collapsed in value by anywhere from 25% to 80%.  And the trend doesn’t seem to be changing anytime soon.  The demand collectibles formerly enjoyed is simply no longer there.

As interesting as this bifurcation in the antiques market is, I find the reasons why the split has occurred even more intriguing.  If we can understand why it is happening, we have a chance to reasonably predict future demand and relative price movements.  There are several interconnected reasons why the collectibles market has weakened while the investment grade antiques market has simultaneously appreciated.

The aging of the acquisition-oriented Baby Boomers is first and foremost on the list of trends that has tanked the collectibles market.  Around the year 2000 the Baby Boomers were in their late 30s to mid 50s.  This was their prime collecting age, when they stuffed their newly built McMansions full of every conceivable antique and collectible.  But now that the Baby Boomers are aging into their 60s and 70s they have slowly changed from net buyers of collectibles to net sellers.

The Great Financial Crisis of 2008-2009 also brought profound, irreversible changes to the antiques market.  Before the crisis, many people spent a significant portion of their discretionary income on collectibles.  After the crisis this extra income – and by extension a great deal of collectible demand – has evaporated.

The trend towards young people living in condos, apartments, townhouses or other, smaller homes has meant there is less room for knick-knacks and shelf sitters among the younger demographic.  It has also resulted in younger generations highly valuing portability.  Many of today’s Millennials live semi-nomadic lifestyles, changing apartments often and even moving across the country for job opportunities.  Because of this, antiques that are durable, small and easily transported have a tremendous edge over ponderous, fragile furniture, china and other unwieldy collectibles that grandma may have favored.

Another important factor in the escalating prices of investment grade antiques is the price of bullion.  Gold, silver and platinum have all increased sharply in value since the early 2000s.  Any antiques containing significant amounts of precious metals have, consequently, seen their value rise, as well.  This trend applies to other fine raw materials, too.  For example, fine gemstones and exotic woods have also increased in price over the last couple decades, indirectly driving up prices for antiques that incorporate them.

Finally, many younger people, having grown up in the Age of Wal-Mart, have developed an aversion to mass produced junk.  Instead they recognize and strive to own fewer, but higher quality items.  Investment grade antiques, with their old world workmanship, individuality and scarcity, effortlessly fit these requirements.

None of these trends are likely to end anytime soon.  Therefore, I think we can expect more of the same.  High quality, investment grade antiques will continue their brisk appreciation while more common collectibles will remain stagnant at best.