The Myth That “There Is No Alternative” to Overpriced Traditional Assets

The Myth That "There Is No Alternative" to Overpriced Traditional Assets

One current tidbit of conventional wisdom that we hear again and again about financial markets is that “there is no alternative.”  Market watchers endlessly lament how unattractive valuations of traditional assets classes are today.  Savings accounts pay nothing.  Longer term treasury bonds pay a miserly interest rate between 1% and 2%.  The dividend yield on the S&P currently hovers around a lowly 2%.  But at the same time, our illustrious financial pundits claim you must buy these wildly overvalued assets anyway because what else are you going to do with your money?  Bury it in the back yard?  There is no alternative.

The bankers, stockbrokers and financial advisors of the world are smug.  They have mastered their sales pitch over years, if not decades.  They work for giant corporations staffed with armies of lawyers built with the prodigious fees they have skimmed from hard working, middle class people over the years.  Your pensions fund, 401k, brokerage account and bank CD have all paid these good fellas their proverbial pound of flesh.  That’s fine with these corrupt financial conmen.  After all, what are you going to do?  There is no alternative.

And their advice is terrible.  Almost every single stock analyst has a buy rating on every stock he covers, even if some of them are obviously terrible investments.  If a stock an analyst covers goes from $10 to $5 a share while the price target is $20, it isn’t a problem.  Just change the new price target to $8 a share, maintain the buy rating on the stock and then claim it still has a whopping 60% upside potential.  Wall Street has a short memory and hey, what are you going to do?  There is no alternative.

By now it has become obvious to any thoughtful observer that the paper assets our financial overlords push cannot possible deliver the outrageously high returns they’ve promised.  The markets are a long, long way from compounding reliably at 10% a year.  This revelation doesn’t deter today’s strain of hardy financial thief of course.  These criminals in Armani suits have grown fat and happy on their backdoor dealings with central banks and crooked politicians – all of whom are quite willing to “look the other way” when average people get “accidentally” screwed by some “unforeseen” financial crisis.  “But what are you going to do?” chuckles your financial advisor softly.  There is no alternative.

Normal, responsible people can’t stop saving for retirement, college, a house, a car or a rainy day just because the Fed has driven interest rates to zero.  Life doesn’t stand still and so the financial predation continues.  The big Wall Street banks know you need to save and invest your money somewhere and they don’t care whether you choose stocks, bonds or cash.  They get their cut in any case.  You, on the other hand, would have better odds going to Vegas and putting it all on black.  At least then you would nearly have a 50-50 chance of doubling your money.  It’s a sad day when a casino can give you a better return on your investment than Wall Street can.  Somewhere an investment banker smiles while a Mafioso weeps.  There is no alternative.

There is only one problem with this odious narrative.  It is all an elaborate lie.  Your banker, broker and financial advisor want you to think you have no alternative.  They want you to think you are trapped in a Hobson’s choice – a situation where regardless of which asset class you choose – stocks, bonds or cash – they still win.  But I’m here to tell you that there is a choice.  An entire asset class exists that has been almost entirely overlooked by our financial illuminati.  There is an alternative: investment grade art and antiques.

Nobility, wealthy industrialists and savvy connoisseurs have coveted, collected and treasured fine art and antiques for centuries.  These masterpieces of human accomplishment are made from some of the rarest and most beautiful materials on earth – dazzling gemstones, glittering precious metals and exotic tropical hardwoods.  They are imbued with both historical and cultural importance, showcasing the skills of a society’s greatest artists and craftsmen.

And, perhaps most importantly, they are priced reasonably.  You can own an iconic World War II era mechanical chronograph wristwatch for just a few hundred dollars.  An elaborately engraved bronze Japanese tsuba (sword guard) from an 18th century samurai sword can be purchased for less than $500.  Jewel-like, medieval European hand-illuminated manuscript pages from the 15th century are readily available for $400 to $800 each.  The possibilities are almost endless and as little as $100 is enough to start.  While your banker, broker or financial advisor might insist otherwise, there is definitely an alternative for your investment dollar.

Hamilton Brock Solid 14k Gold Gents Vintage 1940’s Wristwatch

Hamilton Brock Solid 14k Gold Gents Vintage 1940's Wristwatch
Photo Credit: clint16

Hamilton Brock Solid 14k Gold Gents Vintage 1940’s Wristwatch

Buy It Now Price: $595 (price as of 2016; item no longer available)

Pros:

-This is a very nice vintage men’s Hamilton Brock wristwatch from the 1940s.  The Brock series was one of Hamilton’s longest lasting and most popular models, produced from 1939 to 1952.

-The rectangular solid 14 karat yellow gold case measures 38 mm (1.50 inches) tall (lug to lug) by 20 mm (0.79 inches) wide, excluding the crown.

-The sleek, rectangular case and white enamel dial with 18 karat gold Arabic numerals are the epitome of World War II era retro style.

-This vintage Hamilton wristwatch uses the iconic 19 jewel 982M movement.  The “M” stood for “medallion” and represented Hamilton’s finest movement at the time.  The company only used the 982M in wristwatches with solid gold or platinum cases.  This particular movement (serial number: M130204) was most likely produced in 1949.

-The high end Brock wristwatch retailed for $80 at its introduction, equivalent to $1,383 in 2016 – a staggeringly high price for a watch in an economy still reeling from the Great Depression.

-The dial, crystal and movement all appear to be in excellent condition.  The seller claims the watch still runs and keeps time well.  The offer price of $595 seems fair for a beautiful vintage Hamilton wristwatch in such nice condition.

 

Cons:

-Wristwatches from the 1940s were generally smaller than today.  That means this particular watch – even though it is a men’s model – might seem more like a contemporary women’s wristwatch in terms of scale.

-It is wise to have any vintage wristwatch acquired from eBay professionally serviced, provided the seller hasn’t already performed this service.  This will usually add $100 to $200 to the purchase price of a watch.

-The seller claims the watch dial is original, but it may have been refinished.  However, a refinished dial does not negatively impact the value of vintage American wristwatches like it does with vintage European wristwatches.

-The Hamilton Brock wristwatch, while a desirable model, is not particularly rare today due to its long production run.

Choosing the Right RSC Burglary Safe

Choosing the Right RSC Burglary Safe

Buying the right safe can seem like a hopelessly daunting task.  You’ve researched the confusing multitude of different fire and burglary ratings, but still aren’t sure what safe is right for you.  You know you want some fire protection and, of course, good burglary protection.  The TL-rated safes seem like overkill, more fit for commercial duty at a bank or jewelry store rather than the closet in your master bedroom.  It doesn’t help that the TL-rated safes you’ve seen all have price tags in the several thousand dollar range or higher!  So it looks like an RSC (Residential Security Container) burglary safe is what you’re after.

There is only one problem.  The market is flooded with dozens of different RSC rated burglary safe models.  Additionally, the UL (Underwriters Laboratories) RSC rating encompasses a huge range of different levels of security.  The RSC rating is a basic burglary certification that means a validated safe can successfully resist entry for a minimum of 5 minutes with small, common hand tools.  However, the RSC rating is a minimum bar, and the next highest UL rating – TL-15 – is a true commercial safe rating.  There is a massive gap in between the UL RSC and TL-15 ratings.

But not all RSC certified safes are equally secure though.  Some RSC burglary safe models are head and shoulders above others.  Knowing which safes are at the very top of the RSC category is vital if you want to protect your valuables without spending a small fortune on a TL rated unit.  So I’ve put together a list of outstanding RSC safes that I call “RSC+” safes.

Although not nearly much money as TL rated safes (which generally start at over $2,000 and rapidly increase in price from there), RSC+ safes are still expensive compared to poor-quality, inferior RSC safes.  You do get what you pay for with safes!  Please note that all prices given are current MSRPs as of 2016.  These RSC+ safes are sometimes available at discounts, so with a little persistence you may be able to buy one for less than the listed price.

1) The AMSEC BF Series

The first high quality RSC+ safe to consider is the AMSEC (American Security) BF Series.  This superlative RSC safe has a 3-1/2″ thick door consisting of a solid 1/2″ steel plate reinforced with a proprietary fire and burglary resistant amalgam.  The door also has a 1/4″ thick carburized hardplate to hinder attempts to drill the lock.  The body is constructed of two 1/8″ thick inner and outer steel plates that enclose 2-5/8″ of AMSEC’s proprietary fire and burglary resistant amalgam.

The AMSEC BF Series is proudly made in the U.S.A and is one of the few RSC safes in the market today with true “B”-rated burglary construction!  It is fire certified to withstand temperatures of 1700 degrees Fahrenheit for 1 hour.  Pricing starts at $1,350, making this safe a good value for those looking for serious, yet still affordable protection.  AMSEC also has an excellent line of BF gun safes for those with larger storage needs, although they are not built to exactly the same specifications as the smaller BF line talked about here.

 

2) The Sturdy Safe Stainless Steel Cube

The next excellent RSC candidate is Sturdy Safe’s Model 2020, otherwise known as The Cube.  This robust safe is fully constructed from stainless steel.  Stainless steel is uniquely suited for use in safes because it is exceedingly difficult to cut or drill with power tools due to its extreme work-hardening characteristics.

The Sturdy Safe Stainless Steel Cube has a body made from 3/16″ thick 304 stainless steel while the door is forged from a solid plate of 1/4″ 304 stainless.  The door also sports an 8″ by 12″, 3/16″ thick stainless steel plate welded over the core of the locking mechanism, making the total stainless steel thickness in this area an impressive 7/16″.  An anti-drill hardplate comes standard too.

Don’t let the relatively thin steel gauges of the Sturdy Safe Stainless Steel Cube deceive you into thinking this safe isn’t incredibly rugged, either.  Stainless steel any thicker than 1/4″ is so tough that it is usually fabricated via industrial plasma cutter!  As an added bonus, stainless steel is also cutting torch resistant, eliminating yet another avenue that sophisticated criminals sometimes use to crack safes.

The Stainless Steel Cube is priced at $1,562 including optional ceramic and glass fiber fire insulation.  Sturdy Safe makes no time or temperature claims related to the fire resistance of its safes.  If you don’t want or need fire insulation, the price is even lower.

Sturdy also has larger gun safe models, although they do not have the option of full stainless steel construction like The Cube.  All of Sturdy Safe’s products are fabricated onsite in Fresno, California.

Please note that as of July 2016, it appears that the Stainless Steel Cube has been removed from Sturdy Safe’s website.  It may still be possible to order this safe by special request, however.

 

3) The Gardall GBF Series

The last outstanding RSC+ safe I’d like to highlight is the Gardall GBF Series.  This American made burglary & fire safe has a “B”-rated door, containing a total of 1/2″ of solid steel along with fire resistant material.  The door also contains a drill resistant hardplate.  The body is composed of an outer 1/8″ steel plate enclosing 2-1/2″ of fire insulation and another inner metal shell.  These safes have been fire rated for 1 hour at 1700 degrees Fahrenheit.  Starting at $1,423, the Gardall GBF Series offers substantial fire and burglary protection at a reasonable price point.

Even though the preceding three safes are significantly less expensive than most TL-15 safes, their $1,350 and up price range may still be beyond the means of some people.  Therefore I’m going to list a few other safes that are a bit cheaper.  Although not quite on par with the top tier RSC+ safes in terms of security, the following RSC burglary safes still deserve an honorable mention.

 

4) The Hayman MagnaVault EX Series

Our first alternative is the Hayman MagnaVault EX series.  These stylish safes sport a 4-1/2″ thick door and 2″ body manufactured from a proprietary fire and burglary concrete composite.  They also have between 3 and 5 hardplates that guard the boltwork against drill attacks.  Additionally, these Hayman safes have been fire tested to withstand a 1,200 degree Fahrenheit inferno for 105 minutes.  The formidable Hayman MagnaVault EX series easily exceed UL’s minimum RSC requirements.  Pricing starts at a modest $1,225.

 

5) The AMSEC CSC Series

The next possibility is the AMSEC CSC series.  These economical safes have a 4-5/8″ door with a fully 2″ thick defensive layer composed of inner and outer steel plates sandwiching a proprietary fire and burglary resistant material.  The body is manufactured from two sheets of 2.5 millimeter (0.098 inch) thick steel enclosing 2-2/3″ of fire/burglary composite.  The AMSEC CSC series is also fire certified for 2 hours at 1,700 degrees Fahrenheit.

Pricing starts at an almost unbelievably low $795, which is only possible because the safes are produced offshore.  Although manufactured in China, production is strictly monitored by safe industry veteran AMSEC, ensuring a consistently good quality product.  The AMSEC CSC Series represents exceptional value in an RSC burglary safe for those who cannot stretch their budget.

 

6) The Sturdy Safe Cube (popular package)

The final runner up in our RSC contest is Sturdy Safe’s Cube again, this time without the all stainless steel construction.  The “popular package” option on The Cube comes with a 3/8″ thick steel plate door and a 4 gauge (0.2242 inches thick) steel body.  It also includes the same 8″ by 12″, 3/16″ thick stainless steel door plate found on the Stainless Steel Cube version, located over the locking mechanism to deter drilling or torch attacks.  As always, an anti-drill hardplate comes standard.  Fire protection is the same as on the Stainless Steel Cube as well.

Pricing begins at $1,270, without the optional fire liner.  Sturdy Safe’s “popular package” Cube may not have specifications that are quite as jaw-droppingly impressive as its all stainless steel big brother, but it is still quite intimidating on its own.

The six safes listed above are all high quality products that will provide you with decades of top-notch fire and burglary protection.  They are definitely not your average RSC safes.  I would be comfortable storing $40,000, $50,000 or even as much as $60,000 worth of valuables in the AMSEC BF Series, the Sturdy Safe Stainless Steel Cube or the Gardall GBF Series in a residential setting.

The other, less expensive RSC safes listed above – the Hayman MagnaVault EX, the AMSEC CSC series or the Sturdy Safe “popular package” Cube – could reasonably accommodate $30,000 to $40,000 worth of cash, bullion, jewelry or investment-grade antiques.  These RSC+ safes may seem expensive to the uninitiated, but a good safe is worth every penny of its price.  A cheap $500 RSC burglary safe from Wal-Mart or Costco could end up costing you far more in the long run.

If you are interested in additional information on RSC burglary safes, then I recommend two other articles I have written on the topic: Understanding Hand Tool Safe Cracking and Understanding Power Tool Safe Cracking.

Seleucid Kingdom Antiochus VII 138-129 BC AR Tetradrachm NGC XF40

Seleucid Kingdom Antiochus VII 138-129 BC AR Tetradrachm NGC XF40
Photo Credit: Sarasota-Rare-Coin-Gallery

Seleucid Kingdom Antiochus VII 138-129 BC AR Tetradrachm NGC XF40

Buy It Now Price: $327 (price as of 2016; item no longer available)

Pros:

-This is a silver tetradrachm from the Seleucid Empire – a Hellenistic state founded in 312 BC after the death of Alexander the Great by one of his generals, Seleucus I Nicator.  While the kingdom originally stretched from Asia Minor in the west to India in the east, by the time this coin was struck it had shrunk to a core area composed mostly of present day Syria, Lebanon and Israel.  It was finally conquered by Rome in 64 BC.

-The coin weighs in at a hefty 16.78 grams (0.54 troy ounces) and measures approximately 28 mm (1.10 inches) in diameter.  This is a large, impressive coin that represented a huge amount of buying power in the ancient Greek world – equal to a skilled laborer’s wages for four days.

-It was struck during the reign of Antiochus VII between 138 BC and 129 BC.  Antiochus VII was given the epithet Euergetes – the Benefactor – in celebration of his accommodation of the Jewish religion during his reign.  Religious tolerance was a very rare commodity at the time as evidenced by one of his predecessors – Antiochus IV – who ruled from 175 BC to 164 BC.  That tyrant was the first ruler in history to be given the label of “Antichrist”.

-The tetradrachm features an outstanding diademed portrait of Antiochus VII rendered in the finest Hellenistic style on the obverse.  The reverse shows the Greek goddess Athena holding a miniature version of the goddess Nike (Victory) in her outstretched hand.  The goddesses are surrounded by a wreath and Greek legends.

-This coin has been third party certified (slabbed) as XF-40 (Extra Fine) by NGC (Numismatic Guaranty Corporation), an independent coin grading company that is widely respected.  I think the certification is important not for the grade, but because it is an implicit guarantee of the coin’s authenticity.  Ancient Greek and Roman coins are a favorite target for Eastern European forgers.

-Greek coins have a reputation for being incomparable works of art from the Classical world and this example illustrates that point beautifully.  The portrait of Antiochus VII is particularly compelling, exhibiting a level of artistic achievement that would not be rivaled again in the Western world until the Italian Renaissance.  The coin’s fine style and large size, coupled with the fact that it is over 2100 years old, easily justifies its $327 price tag.

 

Cons:

-This silver tetradrachm is from the latter portion of the Hellenistic period.  By this time in the late 2nd century BC, Hellenistic style was generally beginning to degrade in the Eastern Mediterranean.  Consequently, connoisseurs are generally more willing to pay higher prices for coins from the beginning of the Hellenistic period, all else being equal.

-While the coin’s obverse portrait is superb, the reverse rendering of the goddesses Athena and Nike is rather mediocre by Hellenistic standards.  Of course, if both the obverse and reverse had been struck in the best style, one could expect the price of the specimen to be far higher than it is.

-As noted on the NGC holder, this particular coin may have been a posthumous issue of Cappadocia – a small independent kingdom that bordered the Seleucid Empire in what is now eastern Turkey.  A posthumous coin issue is one minted after the death of the ruler it depicts.  This does not impact the coin’s value much, but might be of importance to some collectors.